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The Indonesian Palm Oil Association (Gapki) estimates Indonesian palm oil output could fall by up to 3 million tonnes in 2027 because of severe El Niño conditions. Its estimate was revised down from 4-5 million tonnes after some plantation regions received rain.
Export volumes are expected to decline as domestic biodiesel use absorbs more supply.
Lower exports from the world's largest palm producer tighten global vegetable oil supply, adding upward pressure on palm oil prices into 2027.
theedgemalaysia.com2026年8月28日在过去 181 次看涨的天气事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（56% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
