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USDA's FAS lowered its 2026/27 India rice production forecast to 147 MMT and corn to 50 MMT because a weak southwest monsoon has disrupted kharif sowing. Record carryover stocks are expected to offset the production decline and keep domestic supplies more than sufficient.
Lower Indian rice and corn output tightens export availability at the margin, but record stocks limit the price impact, so the effect is moderate.
在过去 179 次看涨的天气事件之后,稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 +2.2%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。