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Rabobank expects a major impact on the fishmeal market from the cancellation of Peru's anchovy season. Analysts are comparing the situation with the 2023 crisis, when collapsing supplies pushed fishmeal and fish oil prices sharply higher and strained aquafeed producers.
A 2023-style supply shock would raise fishmeal and fish oil prices and increase feed formulation costs. Buyers may shift to soybean meal and other protein sources, supporting those markets.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。