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Reuters explainer on how a strong El Niño exposes tropical commodities, citing past cocoa output declines and West Africa's drought and heat during the 2023-24 event. It also notes robusta coffee risks in Vietnam and Indonesia from higher temperatures and reduced rainfall.
Expected drier, hotter conditions in key cocoa, coffee and palm growing regions could cut supply and support prices for these tropical crops. Feed buyers should watch palm oil and related meal supplies.
reuters.comMarcelo Teixeira2026年8月18日在过去 181 次看涨的天气事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（56% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
