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India has received 15% less rainfall than normal since the monsoon began on June 1, with some rice-growing states up to 42% short. Rice output is set for its biggest drop in two decades, but large state stockpiles should let India keep exporting without restrictions.
A sharp domestic crop shortfall could tighten global rice supply, but large Indian stocks limit the risk of an export ban, so the price impact is likely moderate.
reuters.comRajendra Jadhav2026年9月17日在过去 179 次看涨的天气事件之后，稻谷 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.5%），20 个交易日内为 +2.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
