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China's 2026 urea export quota is 3.3 million tonnes, about 1.7 million below 2025 shipments of roughly 5 million tonnes. Beijing also sets minimum FOB price floors of $430–$440/t, rising to $500/t for India-bound cargoes.
Indian state tenders have been heavily oversubscribed.
A sharply reduced Chinese quota removes a major share of global urea supply, and China's price floors put a cost floor under world nitrogen prices. This supports urea into Q4 and raises the cost of nitrogen used in feed-grain production.
在过去 129 次看涨的政策事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。