
Oxford Economics reported that Morocco's mining and chemical industries fell sharply in the second quarter of 2026, with extractive value added down 28.6% year on year and the chemical production index down 29.5%. The consultancy linked the drop to the Gulf conflict, which has disrupted sulfur and ammonia imports that Moroccan fertilizer production depends on.
Disrupted sulfur and ammonia supply raises input costs and limits output at one of the largest phosphate producers, which supports DAP prices. Buyers of phosphate-based feed minerals should expect continued cost pressure while Gulf shipping remains disrupted.
在过去 114 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。