Bulk ocean freight rates for U.S. grain from the Gulf and Pacific Northwest rose in the third quarter of 2025 versus the second quarter, with Gulf-to-Japan averaging $54.36 per mt, up 17%. Rates remained below year-ago levels and the four-year average.
Strong Chinese bulk imports and low Paraná River water levels in Argentina lifted demand and costs.
Higher freight widens the cost gap for U.S. grain exports against Black Sea and South American supply, which can weigh on U.S. export basis and farm-gate prices. Rates remain moderate, so the pressure is contained.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 359 次看跌的物流事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 297 次看跌的物流事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。