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Global grain markets remain largely stable in the second week of the US and Israel military campaign against Iran. Analysts warn rising freight and fertilizer costs could pressure supply chains if the conflict continues.
Suez and Hormuz are not yet major grain bottlenecks, but shipping costs are climbing at both ends of the chain.
Higher freight and fertilizer costs squeeze origin and delivered margins, and a longer conflict could feed through to grain and feed prices.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 205 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。