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A University of Arkansas study by James Mitchell and Hunter Biram estimates that record low Lower Mississippi River levels in 2022 reduced the value of Arkansas's soybean crop by up to $293 million. Draft restrictions and smaller barge tows cut the volume of grain moving to New Orleans.
Low river levels raise barge costs and widen basis, which lowers the price farmers receive for soybeans. The study quantifies how much river logistics can depress regional soybean values.
uaex.uada.edu2025年6月16日在过去 230 次中性的物流事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
