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A study by economists James Mitchell and Hunter Biram estimates Arkansas's 2022 soybean crop lost up to $293 million in value due to low Mississippi River levels. Memphis gauge readings reached minus 10.8 feet in October 2022 and a record minus 12 feet a year later.
Barge draft restrictions and reduced tows limited commodity movement.
Draft limits and fewer barges reduce river capacity and depress local soybean cash prices relative to futures. Recurring low water makes these basis and freight costs a repeated feature of the harvest.
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。