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The U.S. has lost about 52.7 million birds to highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza since February 2022, across 46 states. It is the worst U.S. poultry health disaster since 2014-2015 and the outbreak has persisted through summer and resurged.
Large losses of layers and broilers reduce poultry supply and feed demand, and egg supply tightness supports higher prices. The scale of the outbreak makes this a meaningful driver for poultry and feed markets.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 175 次看跌的疫病事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
在过去 167 次看跌的疫病事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(40% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.8% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。