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A University of Minnesota veterinarian describes the continued global spread of African swine fever into new regions in 2023 and 2024. ASF has no approved treatment or widely available vaccine and can kill up to 100% of infected herds.
The article estimates that a US outbreak could cost billions through closed export markets.
ASF spread in exporting countries raises the risk of a US outbreak, which would close export markets and push hog prices down while supporting demand for feed grains if domestic pork is redirected. The article is educational and does not signal a new supply shock.
nationalhogfarmer.com2024年2月28日在过去 117 次看跌的疫病事件之后，生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%（36% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +1.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
