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TA Securities said demand for Malaysian palm oil could rise if Indonesia raises its crude palm oil export levy to 10% to fund the B40 biodiesel mandate. The levy increase would add about US$26.49 per tonne to Indonesian costs, which already sit at a US$146.30 premium over Malaysian product.
The B40 rollout was delayed for infrastructure and technical reasons.
A higher Indonesian levy makes Indonesian palm oil less competitive, shifting demand toward Malaysian supply and supporting Malaysian prices. Buyers should watch whether the levy is actually implemented.
在过去 548 次看涨的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。