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Fastmarkets outlines 2026 palm oil drivers, expecting Indonesian output to recover by 1.5 to 2.0 million tonnes. It warns that government land seizures of 3.3 million hectares, including oil palm area transferred to PT Agrinas, could cut 2 to 5 million tonnes of CPO output.
Malaysia's planted area is stagnant and its yields are declining.
Possible output losses from land seizures in Indonesia and flat Malaysian supply could tighten the global palm oil balance, supporting prices against rising demand for food and fuel.
fastmarkets.comSathia Varqa2026年1月1日在过去 548 次看涨的政策事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（61% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +2.1%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
