
Soybean crush margins fell sharply after EPA's December proposal set biomass-based diesel volumes at 2.82 billion gallons for 2023, rising to 2.95 billion by 2025. The proposal disappointed the soybean sector, which expected far more growth given roughly seven billion gallons of planned biodiesel and renewable diesel capacity.
Industry economists argued that the expanded crush capacity would tighten feedstock supplies.
Lower renewable fuel mandates reduce soybean oil demand and crush margins, which can slow crush expansion and reduce meal output, supporting soybean meal prices while pressuring soybean oil.
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 172 次看涨的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。