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Scott Gerlt of the American Soybean Association said a crop disaster in Argentina cut soybean oil availability and lowered global demand for 2022-23. He expects supply to recover in the next marketing year as USDA projects higher output.
Argentina is a major soybean oil exporter, so a recovery in its output would ease tightness. He expects this to pressure soybean prices lower as supplies return over the next year or two.
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 18 次中性的天气事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.6%(72% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +3.5%),20 个交易日内为 +3.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。