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Rabobank analyst Owen Wagner said crude oil now strongly influences grain and oilseed prices through biofuel links, with soybean oil tracking WTI since 2006-07. Saudi Arabia and Russia are cutting petroleum output to lift prices, and Saudi Arabia reportedly needs about $85 per barrel to balance its budget.
Crude oil moves feed-related oilseed and vegetable oil prices through biofuel demand, so OPEC+ supply cuts support both crude and soybean oil prices.
在过去 487 次看涨的宏观事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.0%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.0%),20 个交易日内为 +1.5%。
在过去 28 次看涨的宏观事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -1.2%(32% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -2.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。