
An economist at the University of Illinois argues that US renewable diesel and biodiesel capacity plans, about 6 billion gallons by 2025 and 7.4 billion in later years, exceed the EPA's 4 to 4.5 billion gallon mandate. He says some plants will not be built, will run well below capacity, or will push existing biodiesel plants out of business.
He cites the wide premium of biodiesel and renewable diesel over conventional diesel as a key strain.
If planned capacity outruns the mandate, feedstock demand for soybean oil and canola could weaken, pressuring oil prices. The mismatch also raises the risk of plant closures that cut feedstock buying.
在过去 196 次中性的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。