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Agribusiness firms Cargill and Bunge are slowing soybean purchases because of uncertainty over US biofuel policy. The lack of Treasury guidance on the clean fuel production credit (45Z) has led biofuel producers to postpone soyoil purchases for early next year.
By mid-October, fuel retailers had procured only about 10% of their Q1 biodiesel, versus more than 80% at that point in a typical year.
Weaker soyoil and soybean buying from biofuel users and crushers reduces demand for soybeans and soyoil, which pressures prices unless the tax guidance arrives and restores demand.
ttnews.comTarso Veloso, Kim Chipman2024年10月29日在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（46% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
