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The Illinois Soybean Association says imported feedstocks such as used cooking oil are displacing soybean oil in biodiesel because they earn larger LCFS credits. It also says the 45Z credit will cut the incentive for soy biodiesel from $1 to 35 cents per gallon starting in 2025.
Lower incentives for soy-based biodiesel reduce demand for soybean oil, which is bearish for soy oil prices and pushes more crush margin into meal.
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 172 次看涨的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。