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Soybean exports to China fell sharply after Chinese tariffs took effect in 2018, with soybeans losing more than 75% of export value to China between 2018 and 2019, according to a USDA report. Sales to China have since nearly recovered to pre-trade-war levels, with exports only 1% below 2017 levels in the year after the Phase One deal.
The recovery of China demand has eased the long-run price risk from the tariffs, so the retrospective picture is roughly neutral for soybean prices.
在过去 250 次中性的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。