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Rabobank reports China's soybean imports have likely peaked and will gradually decline through 2030 as Beijing prioritizes food security and aims to raise domestic output 40 percent by 2025. Imports fell 8.1% year on year in the first 11 months of 2022, and Brazil's share of Chinese supply has grown since the trade war.
A long-term decline in Chinese soybean demand reshapes global trade flows and is bearish for soybean and soymeal export prices over time.
在过去 369 次看跌的政策事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 223 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。