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Surging freight costs since early March, tied to the US-Iran war, have pushed the Santos to Qingdao dry grains rate above the Houston to Qingdao rate for the first time since October 2022. US Gulf corn FOB prices have stayed globally competitive, and US exports reached 66.5mn t through 5 March.
China has bought no US corn this marketing year.
A freight-driven shift in the origin spread could make US corn competitive into China again, supporting US corn export demand and prices if Chinese buyers engage. Higher freight also raises delivered costs for feed buyers.
argusmedia.comJoseph Crosby2024年3月25日在过去 285 次看涨的物流事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
