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Market participants said China's decision to impose countertariffs on US farm products from March 10 would have limited impact on its grain and oilseed imports. China has already been cutting its reliance on US supplies and has shifted purchases to Australia, Canada, Russia and Argentina.
Traders said China has not bought US wheat for months and has a large domestic wheat crop.
US sales to China are a smaller share of its imports than before, so the tariffs are unlikely to shift global wheat or corn prices much. US soybean exports face the most exposure, which could weigh on US soybean prices relative to Brazil.
spglobal.com2025年3月4日在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 206 次中性的贸易事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 480 次中性的贸易事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
