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China remains behind the pace needed to buy 12 million tons of U.S. soybeans by year-end, with USDA data showing confirmed sales of 6.4 million tons since October. Officials insist the December 31 deadline has not moved, and a 10% retaliatory tariff keeps private Chinese importers away from U.S. beans.
Slow Chinese purchases reduce near-term export demand for U.S. soybeans, and uncertainty over the deadline keeps buyers cautious. Any sign of a rush to meet the pledge would support prices, while a slip into 2026 would weigh on them.
agri-pulse.comOliver Ward2025年12月23日在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
