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China's soybean production is expected to slip to 20.1 million tonnes in 2026-27, yet it continues buying US soybeans under the Busan agreement. Its 10% retaliatory tariff has pushed commercial buyers toward Brazil, which shipped record volumes in June-August.
Record Brazilian shipments to China and the tariff gap cap US export pricing, while tightening Brazilian supplies could lift South American soybean prices.
在过去 563 次中性的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 250 次中性的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。