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Black Sea wheat traders had not yet changed trading behavior despite Russian troop build-up near the Ukrainian border, which includes about 100,000 troops. Russia and Ukraine together account for 23% of global wheat exports, and Chicago wheat rose 7.4% in two days on tension-driven buying.
The ruble and hryvnia weakened more than 3% against the dollar.
The sharp Chicago wheat rally reflects a geopolitical risk premium that could fade or intensify depending on developments, and currency weakness in Russia and Ukraine tends to support their export competitiveness.
spglobal.comWilliam Bland2022年1月20日在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 323 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
