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Reuters reported that Ukraine and Russia negotiated for two months via Turkey and agreed a draft text on Black Sea shipping safety in March 2024, but Kyiv pulled out at the last minute. The draft would have provided security guarantees to merchant ships carrying non-military cargo.
A renewed Black Sea shipping deal would lower war-risk premiums and freight costs and add supply security, while the failed talks keep the risk of disruption to grain and oilseed flows alive.
在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
在过去 323 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。