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The USDA's June 2024 Grain: World Markets and Trade report cut Russia's 2024/25 wheat crop forecast to 83.0 million tons, down 11% on adverse weather. Russian exports are forecast at 48.0 million tons, and Ukraine's 2024/25 exports are forecast at 13.0 million tons, the lowest in a decade.
Lower Black Sea wheat supplies tighten the global export balance, which supports wheat prices. Further crop downgrades would add to that pressure.
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 180 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。