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Russia exported 62 million tons of grain by sea in the 2023/24 season, with 90% going through Black Sea ports, mainly to Middle East and North Africa markets. Russia is expanding Baltic Sea infrastructure to reach new markets.
Shifting export routes toward the Baltic could reduce the Black Sea risk premium over time, which would modestly weigh on wheat prices if logistics improve.
reuters.comOlga Popova, Gleb Stolyarov2024年9月26日在过去 163 次中性的物流事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（53% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.1%），20 个交易日内为 -0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
