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Argentina's core grain belt is seeing better rainfall in November than in many recent years, but La Nina remains in place. Soybean planting was 32% complete and is expected to near 90% by late December.
The probability of truly good yields during La Nina is only about one in ten.
Timely November rain eases planting stress, which partly offsets La Nina's drought risk. Yield concerns remain, so the market stays supported but with less urgency.
brecorder.comReuters2021年11月24日在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（52% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 55 次中性的天气事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
