
A USDA FAS report projects Argentina's 2024-25 soybean output at 52 million tonnes, up from 49.5 million last harvest, with crush expected to rise slightly to 42 million tonnes. Farmers are shifting acreage from corn to soy due to corn stunt concerns, low prices and lower soy production costs.
Dry conditions, high temperatures and a shortage of high-grade seed could hold yields below potential.
A larger Argentine soybean crop adds export supply for soybeans, meal and oil, which is mildly bearish for soy complex prices, while weather and seed risks could offset that. Shifts away from corn may tighten corn supply later in the cycle.
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
在过去 399 次看跌的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.4% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -1.0%。
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。