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Analysts from farmdoc daily and INTA forecast a third consecutive La Niña, which is rare, with only two prior triple events since 1950. The article analyzes how La Niña could affect corn yields in Brazil, the US and Argentina.
La Niña is expected to weaken but persist into early winter 2022-23.
La Niña typically brings drought risk to southern Brazil, Argentina and the US, which could cut corn and soybean output. That risk supports prices for both crops.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。