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South American soybean output is projected at 6,887 million bushels, up 6% from last season, but below earlier forecasts. Brazil is near a record crop while Argentina faces its worst harvest in more than two decades, both due to La Niña.
The authors expect a larger South American crop plus a possibly larger U.S. crop to push prices down.
A large South American supply, particularly Brazil's record crop, adds export competition and weighs on soybean prices. Argentina's shortfall partly offsets the gain in regional volume.
farmdocdaily.illinois.eduHongxia Jiao2023年4月1日在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%（42% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 118 次看跌的天气事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.8%（35% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.2% 至 +0.4%），20 个交易日内为 -1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
