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farmdoc daily reports that Conab expects Brazilian farmers to plant more soybeans and less corn in 2023/24, because corn prices are unattractive relative to soybeans. El Nino has also worsened the corn outlook, particularly through delayed first corn planting in Rio Grande do Sul.
A shift from corn to soybean area in Brazil lowers expected corn supply and raises soybean supply, which is supportive for corn and bearish for soybeans. The net effect depends on how El Nino affects yields in each crop.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。