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Conab cut its safrinha corn estimate, citing lower first-crop and second-crop acreage, with safrinha area projected down 7.6% to 1.31 million hectares. Farmers face low soybean yields, the lowest soybean prices in three years, and rising pest costs, and Aprosoja advised farmers not to sell grain or expand area.
Reduced safrinha acreage and farmer financial stress lower Brazilian corn supply and raise uncertainty over exports, supporting corn prices, though corn is already below production cost.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 788 次看跌的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。