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The DTN long-range European ECMWF model shows wet season rains arriving in central Brazil later than previously forecast. Less than 30 mm is expected through Oct.
11, and most areas have had no meaningful rain for four to five months. Producers are waiting for at least 50 mm before planting first-crop soybeans.
A delayed wet season postpones Brazilian soybean planting and pushes harvest later, tightening near-term export availability and supporting soybean prices.
dtnpf.comJohn Baranick2024年9月27日在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
