
Farm Press reported that high temperatures and dry weather in the Midwest could hinder crop development. NASS cut its 2022 soybean acreage forecast to 88.3 million acres from 91 million in March, a larger drop than expected, and North Dakota farmers could not plant an estimated 1.1 million acres of soybeans due to flooding.
A smaller-than-expected soybean area combined with heat risk tightens supply expectations, supporting soybean and soybean meal prices.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 453 次看涨的天气事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
NASS cut soybean acreage well below expectations while heat and dryness threatened crop development, tightening supply expectations.
Heat and dryness in the Midwest and a larger-than-expected cut in soybean acreage tightened expected US supply.