
Cooler, wetter July weather has spared U.S. summer crops from widespread disaster after a very dry start, but several Corn Belt areas are drying out again during a heat wave. Forecasts for August rainfall, which is critical for soybean yields, show no clear trend.
Uncertain August rainfall keeps traders reacting to each weather model run, so prices may swing on forecast changes rather than a clear direction.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Cooler, wetter July weather spared US crops from widespread disaster, reducing the weather premium and supporting the drop in corn prices.