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As of June 24, the Drought Monitor showed 49% of the U.S. under abnormal dryness or drought, up three points for the week. USDA put drought coverage at 16% of corn area, 12% of soybeans and 25% of spring wheat, with the driest Corn Belt areas in Nebraska and South Dakota.
A shrinking drought footprint on corn and soybean areas eases yield risk and weighs mildly on futures. Dryness remaining in Nebraska and South Dakota keeps some weather premium in the market.
在过去 357 次看跌的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +1.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 363 次看跌的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.5% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。