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Five of the top 18 corn-growing states start 2026 with D3 extreme or D4 exceptional drought, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Texas and Colorado are named, and drought is more intense and widespread than at the start of 2025.
Illinois has over 5% in D3 drought.
Severe drought in major corn states raises concern about yield risk for the 2026 crop if conditions do not improve before planting. Markets may price in some risk premium.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。