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Fertiliser prices rose sharply from mid-January 2021, with US Gulf DAP up 36% year to date. The rally was driven by demand from farmers restocking nutrients and by supply constraints, including a US Commerce countervailing duty on phosphate imports.
Prices are expected to ease by the end of the second quarter as Northern Hemisphere demand slows.
Higher phosphate and nitrogen costs raise input expenses for grain and feed producers, while import duties tighten North American supply and keep phosphate prices elevated.
theland.com.auWes Lefroy, Rabobank Senior Agricultural Analyst2021年2月18日在过去 193 次看涨的贸易事件之后，DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +1.8%），20 个交易日内为 +1.9%。
在过去 176 次看涨的贸易事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.4%），20 个交易日内为 +1.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
