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Almost a third of Ukrainian oil extraction plants have shut down due to power outages and shelling, while port operations are limited. Russian sunflower oil FOB prices rose $40-50 to $1,280-1,290/t, and Ukrainian oil to ports rose $30 to $1,270-1,280/t.
Malaysian palm oil and CME soybean oil also gained on the week.
Reduced Ukrainian oil supply lifts global vegetable oil prices, supporting palm and soybean oil. Uncertainty over US biofuel volumes for 2026-27 is a downside risk.
agronews.uanews2026年1月22日在过去 110 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.8%（65% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +3.6%），20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
在过去 62 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +2.5%（74% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.1% 至 +5.8%），20 个交易日内为 +4.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Roughly a third of Ukrainian extraction plants being offline and port operations being limited imply lower meal output and tighter supply in the days before the move.
