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The yuan is set for its biggest annual loss against the dollar since 1994, despite a strong recovery over the prior two months. USD/CNY peaked near 7.30 in late October to early November.
The author links the yuan's weakness to a stronger dollar and expects the Fed tightening cycle to be questioned.
Yuan weakness through 2022 raised the dollar cost of Chinese imports, while a softer dollar outlook could reduce that pressure. The story describes a past move more than a new price driver.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。