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Kenanga Research's FX outlook forecasts a bearish yuan for January 2023, citing a 2022 depreciation of more than 8% against the dollar. Beijing's rollback of zero-COVID curbs and seasonal dollar weakness lifted the yuan 2.7% in December.
Analysts expect it to slide back toward 6.90-7.00 per dollar as manufacturing PMI contracts and infections surge.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese exports more competitive, which can weigh on China's import demand for feed ingredients priced in dollars. The forecast implies a higher USD/CNY rate.
在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后,人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(56% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。