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Wheat futures are trading at levels last seen in early 2023 as attacks on Black Sea ports, grain terminals and vessels disrupt regional exports. Russia and Ukraine together account for about 27% of global wheat exports, and the International Grains Council describes their exports as at a standstill.
Chicago wheat is up about 30% since early July.
With roughly a quarter of world wheat exports disrupted, the supply gap is large enough to lift global benchmark prices and pass through to feed and food costs. Prices remain below 2022 peaks, limiting the scale of the rally.
axios.comEmily Peck2026年9月3日在过去 361 次看涨的地缘政治事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.7%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +3.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.3%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
