
The AHDB's first 2025/26 UK cereal supply and demand estimates project wheat and maize imports of 2.20 million tonnes, down 28% year on year. Bioethanol demand has fallen after the Vivergo shutdown and Ensus remains offline, while brewing, malting and distilling demand is also expected to decline.
Lower supply is expected to outweigh weaker demand and tighten the balance sheet.
Reduced imports and a tighter UK balance sheet support domestic wheat and barley prices, while weaker bioethanol and malting demand limits the rally.
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。