U.S. natural gas is on track to become the world's most expensive gas for the first time in more than a decade, as COVID-19 lockdowns cut demand in Europe and Asia. U.S. futures rallied about 10% in April on bets that the oil crash would curb associated gas output, while Asian and European prices fell to new lows.
The narrowing of the global gas price premium weakens the economics of U.S. LNG exports, while the expected output cut from lower oil drilling supports domestic prices.
在过去 155 次看涨的宏观事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +7.1%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Describes U.S. futures rallying about 10% in April on bets that the oil crash would curb associated gas output; it is dated after the window but confirms the supply-driven mechanism.
Describes the April rally on bets that the oil crash will curb associated gas output, confirming the supply-expectation mechanism, though it is published a day after the window ends.