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The dollar has weakened in 2018 despite supportive U.S. data and expected Fed rate hikes, with analysts pointing to faster growth abroad and comments from the Trump administration on trade policy. The author notes that a focus on cutting the trade deficit could cap dollar gains, and that a possible abrogation of NAFTA is a wild card.
Trade-policy uncertainty such as a possible NAFTA exit could disrupt U.S. feed and grain export flows to Mexico and Canada. A weaker dollar would support U.S. commodity export competitiveness.
在过去 15 次看跌的政策事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.5%(27% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +0.0%),20 个交易日内为 -0.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。